Climate Futures and Empirical Projections for the Sahel

Volume V of the tables.data archive assembles structured empirical data on the projected future of the Sahara-Sahel region under climate change. Sources include IPCC Sixth Assessment Report chapters, World Bank Country Climate and Development Reports for the G5 Sahel countries, national adaptation plans, WMO annual state-of-climate reports, peer-reviewed climate model ensembles (CMIP6), and synthesis reports on food security, displacement, conflict risk, and anticipatory action. The volume's defining characteristic is its temporal orientation — where Volumes I through IV are anchored in the past and present, Volume V is anchored in what the data says is coming, expressed as structured tables of projections, scenarios, and confidence-bounded forecasts.

The Sahel's future has already been modelled.